Form 8-K

 

 

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported):

April 16, 2008

ALLIANCE DATA SYSTEMS CORPORATION

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

 

DELAWARE   001-15749   31-1429215
(State or Other Jurisdiction
of Incorporation)
  (Commission
File Number)
  (IRS Employer
Identification No.)

17655 WATERVIEW PARKWAY

DALLAS, TEXAS 75252

(Address and Zip Code of Principal Executive Offices)

(972) 348-5100

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, including Area Code)

NOT APPLICABLE

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act

 

 

 


ITEM 7.01.     Regulation FD Disclosure

Attached is a slide presentation to be given to investors and others by senior officers of Alliance Data Systems Corporation.

 

ITEM 9.01.     Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d) Exhibits

 

EXHIBIT
NUMBER

  

DESCRIPTION

99.1    Investor Presentation Materials.

Note: The information contained in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    Alliance Data Systems Corporation
Date: April 16, 2008       By:   /s/ Edward J. Heffernan
          Edward J. Heffernan
         

Executive Vice President and

Chief Financial Officer

 

3


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

EXHIBIT
NUMBER

  

DESCRIPTION

99.1    Investor Presentation Materials.

 

4

Investor Presentation Materials
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
Alliance Data
NYSE:ADS
Q1
2008
Exhibit 99.1


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
2
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
Alliance Data’s Safe Harbor Statement/Forward-Looking Statements
This
presentation
may
contain
forward-looking
statements
within
the
meaning
of
Section
27A
of
the
Securities
Act
of
1933,
as
amended,
and
Section
21E
of
the
Securities
Exchange
Act
of
1934,
as
amended.
Such
statements
may
use
words
such
as
"anticipate,"
"believe,"
"estimate,"
"expect,"
"intend,"
"predict,"
"project"
and
similar
expressions
as
they
relate
to
us
or
our
management.
When
we
make
forward-looking
statements,
we
are
basing
them
on
our
management's
beliefs
and
assumptions,
using
information
currently
available
to
us.
Although
we
believe
that
the
expectations
reflected
in
the
forward-looking
statements
are
reasonable,
these
forward-looking
statements
are
subject
to
risks,
uncertainties
and
assumptions,
including
those
discussed
in
our
filings
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission.
If
one
or
more
of
these
or
other
risks
or
uncertainties
materialize,
or
if
our
underlying
assumptions
prove
to
be
incorrect,
actual
results
may
vary
materially
from
what
we
projected.
Any
forward-looking
statements
contained
in
this
presentation
reflect
our
current
views
with
respect
to
future
events
and
are
subject
to
these
and
other
risks,
uncertainties
and
assumptions
relating
to
our
operations,
results
of
operations,
growth
strategy
and
liquidity.
These
risks,
uncertainties
and
assumptions
include
those
made
with
respect
to
and
any
developments
related
to
the
proposed
merger
with
an
affiliate
of
The
Blackstone
Group,
including
the
risk
that
conditions
to
closing,
including
the
condition
relating
to
OCC
approval,
may
not
be
satisfied
and
that
the
proposed
merger
may
not
be
consummated,
as
well
as
risks
and
uncertainties
arising
from
actions
that
the
respective
parties
to
the
merger
agreement
may
take
in
connection
therewith.
The
Company
cannot
provide
any
assurance
that
the
conditions
to
closing
the
transaction
will
be
satisfied
or
that
the
proposed
merger
will
be
completed.
We
have
no
intention,
and
disclaim
any
obligation,
to
update
or
revise
any
forward-looking
statements,
whether
as
a
result
of
new
information,
future
results
or
otherwise.
"Safe
Harbor"
Statement
under
the
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995:
Statements
in
this
presentation
regarding
Alliance
Data
Systems
Corporation's
business
which
are
not
historical
facts
are
"forward-looking
statements"
that
involve
risks
and
uncertainties.
For
a
discussion
of
such
risks
and
uncertainties,
which
could
cause
actual
results
to
differ
from
those
contained
in
the
forward-looking
statements,
see
"Risk
Factors"
in
the
company's
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
for
the
most
recently
ended
fiscal
year.
Risk
factors
may
be
updated
in
Item
1A
in
each
of
the
Company's
Quarterly
Reports
on
Form
10-Q
for
each
quarterly
period
subsequent
to
the
Company's
most
recent
Form
10-K.


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
3
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
Financial Measures
In addition to the results presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting
principles, or GAAP, the Company presents financial measures that are non-GAAP
measures, such as adjusted EBITDA, operating EBITDA and cash earnings per share. The
Company believes that these non-GAAP measures, viewed in addition to and not in lieu of
the Company's reported GAAP results, provide useful information to investors regarding its
performance
and
overall
results
of
operations.
These
metrics
are
an
integral
part
of
the
Company's internal reporting to measure  the performance of reportable segments and the
overall
effectiveness
of
senior
management.
Definitions
of
these
financial
terms
and
reconciliations of these financial measures to comparable GAAP measures are available
on the Company's website, except where, as in the case of adjusted EBITDA, operating
EBITDA and cash earnings per share, the appropriate GAAP financial measure is not
available on a forward-looking basis. The financial measures presented are consistent with
the Company's historical financial reporting practices, except as noted with respect to the
Company’s revised segment reporting. The non-GAAP measures presented herein may
not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies, and are not
identical to corresponding measures used in our various agreements or public filings.


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
4
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
Alliance Data:  A Unique Business Model
Highly sophisticated transaction-based programs are measurable,
trackable
and allow for micro-segmentation of clients’
customers.
Drives high ROIs
for our clients and displaces traditional marketing
channels, a $670 billion market.
Comprehensive nature of our programs cuts across many traditional
industries.
Largest and Most Comprehensive Provider of Transaction-
based Marketing and Loyalty Solutions
Very “sticky”
programs:  recession resistant and resilient pricing power
Multi-channel marketing strategy
Data products
Database design and build
Analytics
Permission-based email
Customer care
Processing
Credit


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
5
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
Compelling Growth Company –
Four Financial Metrics
1.
Double-digit Organic Growth
2.
Strong Free Cash Flow Conversion
Double-digit organic business growth, plus
Margin expansion:  14% (2000)
32% (2007); >250bps a year
Capex
improving from 5%
3% of top-line
3.
Strong Visibility, Predictability and Transparency
27 consecutive quarters since IPO
High recession resiliency
4.
Excellent Liquidity
$3.8BN Capacity in Place
$1.8BN Unused
Leverage <1x
Comfort at 3x
$2.0BN Available
$3.8BN Unused/Available
(“investment grade”)


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
6
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2008 Guidance
Reiterate Organic Growth Targets:
Operating EBITDA
>$730MM
Adjusted EBITDA
>$700MM
Cash EPS
$4.30
Cash EPS:  Mid-teens Organic Growth
Q1:  Flat
(-) Lane Bryant Drag
($.98-1.00)
(-) 2008’s Most Difficult Comps
Q2:  Low to Mid-teens    (-) Lane Bryant Drag 
(+) Private Label Ramp-ups
($1.00)
(+) Funding Benefits
Q3:  Mid to High-teens    (-) Lane Bryant Drag    
(+) Private Label Ramp-ups
($1.15)
(+) Funding Benefits 
(+) Loyalty & Epsilon
Q4:  Mid-20’s
(+) Lane Bryant Anniv.
(+) Private Label Ramp-ups
(>$1.15)
(+) Funding Benefits
(+) Loyalty & Epsilon
Note: Adjusted EBITDA Will Follow A Similar Distribution


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
7
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2008 Est. Free Cash Flow
($MM, Except per Share)
Adjusted EBITDA
> $700
Loyalty Adjustment
30
Operating EBITDA
> $730
Less Capex/Int./Taxes
(330)
Free Cash Flow
$400
Per Share
$5.00
+ Asset Sales / Other Initiatives
TBD
(11% yield)


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
8
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
One Business Model
Drives Multiple Service Offerings
We capture
past and
current
consumer
transactions
Through our
analysis over
the past 25
years we know
this is the best
predictor of
future behavior
We develop,
implement and
drive complex 
marketing and
loyalty
programs
Our micro-
segmentation
drives
significant ROIs
for clients


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
9
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2008 Outlook:  Loyalty Services -
Canada
AIR MILES
®
Reward Program is the Largest Mass
Consumer Coalition Loyalty Program in Canada
70% of Canadian Households Active in the Program
One of Canada’s Most Recognizable Brands
Despite Name, Revenues are not Driven by Airline
Industry.
Revenues Generated from Consumers’
Non-discretionary, High Frequency, Everyday Spend
Gas, Grocery, Pharmacy, Etc.
Long Term Contracts with High Renewal Rate
2007 Operating EBITDA of $174MM
(Adjusted EBITDA plus Loyalty Adjustment)
Expect Mid-teens
Adjusted EBITDA Growth in 2008
100% Organic; driven by network effect, new sponsors, and
larger commitments from current sponsors
Shell Oil of Canada


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
10
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2008 Outlook:  Epsilon Marketing Services
Only Recognized Leader in Both Database Marketing and Email
Marketing Services by Forrester
Most Comprehensive and Only Integrated Database Marketing
Services Firm in the Industry
Marketing Strategy
Database Management
Proprietary Data Services
Analytical Services
Distribution (35 BN+ Permission-based Emails Sent Annually)
Coalition Programs: Abacus, Citi
ThankYou
Network
Individual Programs: Hilton HHonors, Barnes & Noble, Pfizer
Top 25 Clients have Average Tenure of 10 Years
2007 Adjusted EBITDA of $118MM
Expect Mid-teens
Adjusted EBITDA Growth in 2008
$670BN Market:  TV, radio, newspapers, magazines, outdoor,
direct response & mail, events & promos
Massive Shift to ROI-based Programs
100% Organic: Larger Commitments from Existing Clients and
New Clients


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
11
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2008 Outlook:  Private Label Services
Fully Integrated Loyalty-driven Private Label and
Co-brand Programs
Loyalty & Marketing Programs
High-end Customer Care
Transaction Processing
Consumer’s Choice Driven by Loyalty and Relationship
to Retailer, not a Need for Credit
2 of 3 Services (Loyalty/Marketing and Customer Care)
Provide “Special Sauce”
That Makes the Business
Unique
High Renewal Rate; Key Clients with Long Tenure
2007 Adjusted EBITDA of $99MM
Expect Mid-single
Digit Adjusted EBITDA Growth in
2008
Grow-over from Lane Bryant
280+ potential clients (50% have a program today)
Sign 4-5 new clients per year


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
12
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2008 Outlook: Private Label Credit
11MM Active Households Each Month
85% Female; Mid-to High-Income
Customer Views as Loyalty Program, not an Extension of Credit
700 Average Bureau Score; Small Average Balances ($350/acct.)
No Sub-prime Targeting
2007 Adjusted EBITDA of $350MM
Expect
Mid-single Digit Adjusted EBITDA Growth in 2008 –
It’s Not the Macro Issues;
It’s Lane Bryant v. ramp-ups
(+) Yields Solid
(+)
Portfolio
Growth
Solid
excl.
Lane
Bryant:
6%;
including
:
flat
(+)
Portfolio
Sales
Decent
excl.
Lane
Bryant:
5%;
including:
flat
(+) Funding Rates 
(-)
Slight
Creep
in
Credit
Losses
Master
Trust
Sep ‘07
Oct ‘07
Nov ‘07
Dec ‘07
Jan ‘08
Feb ‘08
Delinquencies
5.4%
5.5%
5.3%
5.1%
5.4%
5.3%
Losses
5.7%
5.4%
6.2%
5.7%
6.5%
6.3%
}
Offset –
Natural Hedge


2008 Q1 ADS Roadshow
13
©2008 ADS Alliance Data Systems, Inc.
2003-2008e
(in $MM, except per share)
Adjusted EBITDA
>$700
2003             2004           2005           2006         
2007           2008e
Cash EPS
2003           2004            2005           2006             2007            2008e
$1.00
$1.54
$1.99
$3.14
$3.88
$4.30
$189
$255
$321
$498
$632